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The little boy is clairvoyant (as shown at other points in the show as well) and tells Harry Houdini, who is an Italian immigrant, to warn the duke. He is referring to Archduke Ferdinand, whose assassination begins WW1 and not until news of Ferdinand's death does Houdini remember the little boy and figure it out.

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Q: Why does the Boy Say Warn the duke in Ragtime?
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